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General election 2015: Looking back, looking forward, part 3

Maruah held a post-election forum on 19 Sept 2015.

Maruah held a post-election forum on 19 Sept 2015.

In this last part of a three-part essay, I will touch on three questions that surfaced during Maruah’s post-election forum, held 19 September 2015. They were:

  • Does social media have any impact on voting intentions?
  • Do rallies make any difference to voting?
  • Is confrontational politics the way forward from now on?

Continue reading ‘General election 2015: Looking back, looking forward, part 3’

General election 2015: Looking back, looking forward, part 2

Maruah held a post-election forum on 19 Sept 2015.

Maruah held a post-election forum on 19 Sept 2015.

This post is the second in the series that attempts to make sense of the results of the 2015 general election and distil ideas about what opposition parties can do. In Part One, two themes were discussed: the ‘apathetic’ voter and whether parties need ideological platforms.

In this Part Two, we take on two more themes: Naturalised citizens and middle-ground voters. Continue reading ‘General election 2015: Looking back, looking forward, part 2’

General election 2015: Looking back, looking forward, part 1

Maruah held a post-election forum on 19 Sept 2015.

Maruah held a post-election forum on 19 Sept 2015.

Maruah’s post-election forum, 19 September 2015, was very well attended. They ran out of chairs and people had to sit on the floor.

I was one of the six speakers, but the best part for me was the way that comments made by other speakers and members of the audience generated further thoughts which will take three posts for me to cover. These thoughts can be grouped into seven themes. In this post (Part One of three), I will discuss the first two: The ‘apathetic’ voter, and the debate about whether parties need ideological platforms. Continue reading ‘General election 2015: Looking back, looking forward, part 1’

The survivors’ league: Singapore joins Gabon and Tanzania

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Guest essay by Kay Mohlman

I was moved to write in the wake of your analysis, which is pessimistically compelling. However, under the conditions of uncertainty that come with elections in far-less-than-democratic conditions, it’s impossible to accurately know what lies behind voter swings except that each of the past two elections have been exercises in uncertainty: an uncertain (surprising) outcome in 2011 and uncertain (frustrated) predictions in 2015.

Fine-grained analyses of the 2011 and 2015 general elections can be made, but I think it’s important as well to look at Singapore in some comparative perspective. Doing so may help us realise what, exactly, opposition parties and those who vote for them are up against when measured side by side with the many other countries that also hold far-less-than-democratic elections around the world. And fortunately, Andreas Schedler has done just that in his “Politics of Uncertainty: Sustaining and Subverting Electoral Authoritarianism” (Oxford 2013). Continue reading ‘The survivors’ league: Singapore joins Gabon and Tanzania’

Singapore Solidarity: Constitutional reform to pave way for a better democracy

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Guest essay by Dasan

Singaporeans want a democracy. This is clearly seen in the enthusiasm that voters of Tanjong Pagar exhibited when they cast their votes. The large rally crowds are also a testament to this. But the results just don’t tally. Continue reading ‘Singapore Solidarity: Constitutional reform to pave way for a better democracy’

Musings from the general election campaign: race, language and religion

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At one of the election rallies, I met an American who moved to Singapore only a year earlier. Of course he didn’t have the vote, but he was curious what election rallies were like. I had met him before, and so went up to him to say, hi.

He was glad to see me as he had a question he didn’t know whom to ask. “Will they ever speak in English?” was the question.

I laughed. “Why do you ask? What’s been happening since you got here?” Continue reading ‘Musings from the general election campaign: race, language and religion’

General election 2015: Two opposition parties withstood the rout better than the rest

Feeling depressed by election results? Try retail therapy

Feeling depressed by election results? Try retail therapy

I came across a Facebook post that said quality candidates don’t mean a thing. It was probably written in frustration at the dismal results by opposition parties in this 2015 general election. The Workers’ Party had fielded several candidates whose credentials wouldn’t look out of place on the People’s Action Party (PAP) slate. The Singapore Democratic Party (SDP) had Paul Tambyah, a professor of infectious diseases. Yet, neither party improved its position in this election, the argument went.

A closer analysis of the numbers would debunk this assertion. Continue reading ‘General election 2015: Two opposition parties withstood the rout better than the rest’

General election 2015: Huge win for PAP signals stasis

They prevailed in the end

They prevailed in the end

Securing almost 70% of valid votes cast, the huge win by the People’s Action Party (PAP) must have left nearly all observers stunned. During the campaign itself, no one I know seemed to have even imagined, let alone predicted, such a result.

This outcome should be highly revealing of the Singapore electorate. It may be too early to say exactly what it reveals, but it certainly is an important data-point. I shall make some guesses in this essay. Continue reading ‘General election 2015: Huge win for PAP signals stasis’

A mixed proportional and SMC electoral system

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While we wait for the general election results this evening, let me plug my ideas for reform of the electoral system. My proposals aim to address these present weaknesses:

One of the biggest bugbears of voters is that in many constituencies, they cannot stomach the idea of voting for one party, yet the alternative available to them in their constituency is nearly as unpalatable. This is the siamese twin to the fear that three-cornered fights are likely to give the advantage to the People’s Action Party. So pro-opposition people clamour for opposition parties to avoid three-cornered fights, but in so doing, it leads to the above, where in some constituencies, voters are faced with lousy choices.  Continue reading ‘A mixed proportional and SMC electoral system’

Why we need a larger opposition presence in parliament, part 2

After the close of the last SDP rally, a long queue forms , to buy a book by Chee Soon Juan and to have it autographed (at bottom left corner of photo)

After the close of the last SDP rally, a long snaking queue forms , to buy a book by Chee Soon Juan and to have it autographed (at bottom left corner of photo)

From Part 1.

Just before this election campaign began, a friend shared with me some thoughts about the performance of opposition MPs in the last parliament. He wasn’t criticising them, just voicing aloud his relative disappointment that through the last four years there had not been more in-depth debate about the issues. Continue reading ‘Why we need a larger opposition presence in parliament, part 2’



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